Current Test
MARTY-CAP-002
Capitulation volume candle followed by midpoint reclaim. This is the first objective Marty paper test.
Independent Research OS
Current Candidate
Forced selling candle followed by objective midpoint reclaim. Entry is next candle open.
Decision Gate
Waiting for data.
Best Horizon
Measured after costs.
Worst Horizon
Measured after costs.
PnL Ledger
Marty rows are historical virtual horizon exits, not open positions. PnL uses the frozen paper notional.
| State | Symbol | Horizon | Entry Time | Exit Time | Entry | Exit | Net Return | Net PnL USD | MFE USD | MAE USD | Source |
|---|
Paper Test
| Horizon | Trades | Win Rate | Profit Factor | Expectancy | Avg MFE | Avg MAE | Max DD |
|---|
Evidence Ledger
| Event Time | Symbol | Entry | Volume Z | Drawdown | Midpoint | Reclaim Close |
|---|
Mini Course
The course is best understood as participant-footprint trading: find where serious activity happened, then test whether price accepts or rejects that footprint.
Evidence Density
Research Translation
Every idea must move from discretionary chart reading into economic mechanism, mathematical definition, paper test, and decision.
Current Test
Capitulation volume candle followed by midpoint reclaim. This is the first objective Marty paper test.
Rule
We freeze definitions before testing. If we change thresholds after seeing results, the evidence is polluted.
Decision
Marty Lab is promising but still research. No live trading, no leverage, no broker connection.
Next Course Step
The cleanest next lesson to test is whether lower wicks plus reclaim outperform lower wicks alone.